IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Youngstown St.
Horizon
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.5	#225
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.2	#191
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.6	#125

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.1	#313

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.2%	11.2%	5.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.4	14.8

.500 or above	41.1%	82.2%	40.8%
.500 or above in Conference	44.8%	71.9%	44.6%
Conference Champion	5.2%	14.1%	5.1%
Last Place in Conference	12.2%	1.5%	12.3%

First Four	0.9%	0.9%	0.9%
First Round	4.7%	10.3%	4.7%
Second Round	0.3%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.0%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 5	14 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2019	6	@ Louisville	L	62-87	1%
Nov 15, 2019	202	@ Louisiana	L	79-83	36%
Nov 19, 2019	322	NC Central	W	76-66	81%
Nov 21, 2019	132	@ Akron	L	66-74	23%
Nov 23, 2019	340	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	79-73	70%
Nov 30, 2019	154	@ Central Michigan	L	78-85	27%
Dec 04, 2019	273	Robert Morris	W	74-68	69%
Dec 07, 2019	231	@ Western Michigan	L	74-77	41%
Dec 15, 2019	294	Southeast Missouri St.	W	80-73	73%
Dec 18, 2019	339	Binghamton	W	78-66	85%
Dec 21, 2019	46	West Virginia	L	73-84	18%
Dec 28, 2019	253	@ IUPUI	L	76-77	45%
Dec 30, 2019	131	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	73-81	24%
Jan 04, 2020	311	@ Cleveland St.	W	77-75	59%
Jan 09, 2020	201	Oakland	W	78-76	56%
Jan 11, 2020	219	Detroit Mercy	W	82-79	59%
Jan 16, 2020	133	@ Northern Kentucky	L	72-80	25%
Jan 18, 2020	103	@ Wright St.	L	66-77	19%
Jan 23, 2020	250	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	W	74-70	65%
Jan 25, 2020	167	Green Bay	L	83-84	50%
Jan 30, 2020	131	Illinois-Chicago	L	76-78	43%
Feb 01, 2020	253	IUPUI	W	79-74	65%
Feb 08, 2020	311	Cleveland St.	W	80-72	75%
Feb 13, 2020	219	@ Detroit Mercy	L	79-82	40%
Feb 15, 2020	201	@ Oakland	L	75-79	36%
Feb 20, 2020	103	Wright St.	L	69-74	35%
Feb 22, 2020	133	Northern Kentucky	L	75-77	42%
Feb 27, 2020	167	@ Green Bay	L	80-86	30%
Feb 29, 2020	250	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	71-73	45%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.1	1.6	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0		5.2	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.9	2.2	2.3	1.3	0.3	0.0				7.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.7	3.5	2.9	0.9	0.1						9.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.5	3.0	0.7	0.1							10.6	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	3.0	4.9	3.3	0.6	0.0								12.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	3.0	5.2	3.0	0.5	0.0									12.3	6th
7th				0.0	0.0	0.7	3.5	5.5	2.6	0.4	0.0										12.8	7th
8th				0.1	1.2	3.6	4.6	2.2	0.3	0.0											12.0	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.8	3.5	3.4	1.5	0.2	0.0												10.8	9th
10th	0.2	1.0	2.2	2.2	1.5	0.6	0.1														7.7	10th

Total	0.2	1.0	2.6	4.1	6.2	8.3	10.1	11.4	11.4	10.7	10.1	8.0	6.2	4.3	3.1	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	93.6%	0.6		0.5	0.1
15-3	78.8%	1.2		0.9	0.3	0.0
14-4	52.7%	1.6		0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	24.6%	1.1		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	6.3%	0.4		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.2%	5.2		2.9	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		55.7%	54.6%	1.0%	10.2					0.0				0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0				0.0		2.3%
17-1	0.2%		50.6%	47.6%	3.0%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		5.8%
16-2	0.6%		36.2%	36.0%	0.2%	13.3									0.0			0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.4		0.3%
15-3	1.5%		27.2%	27.2%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1
14-4	3.1%		19.9%	19.8%	0.0%	14.0													0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	2.5		0.0%
13-5	4.3%		16.5%	16.5%		14.5													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	3.6
12-6	6.2%		11.5%	11.5%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.1	5.5
11-7	8.0%		8.7%	8.7%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	7.3
10-8	10.1%		6.4%	6.4%		15.5															0.1	0.2	0.4	9.4
9-9	10.7%		4.5%	4.5%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.3	10.2
8-10	11.4%		3.1%	3.1%		15.9																0.0	0.3	11.0
7-11	11.4%		1.7%	1.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	11.2
6-12	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	10.1
5-13	8.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.3
4-14	6.2%																							6.2
3-15	4.1%																							4.1
2-16	2.6%																							2.6
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		5.2%	5.2%	0.0%	14.7					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.1	1.7	1.7	94.8		0.0%